Saturday a.m. whip count

It would be nice to know this isn't a 1-way attempt to peel votes. Do we have any from our side working the Democrat members?

From FireDogLake.com...

pelosi stupak obama.jpg

So if you do that, you have 201 202 sure Yes votes, and 206 sure No votes (which includes all Republicans and 28 Democrats who have announced their intention to oppose). 13 12 members are still completely undecided. 4 who voted No last time...

Brian Baird, Jim Matheson, Glenn Nye, John Tanner

And 9 who voted Yes last time:

Melissa Bean, Chris Carney, Bill Foster, Paul Kanjorski, Solomon Ortiz, Bill Owens, Earl Pomeroy, Zack Space, Mike Michaud

(UPDATE: Bill Owens will vote Yes. So it's down to 12 undecideds, from 13)

If Speaker Pelosi were to get every single 1 of these votes - and that's a tall order - she would still need 2 members from the confirmed Stupak bloc....

This confirmation comes from the names on the enrollment corrections bill from last night, and also Joe Donnelly and Jerry Costello, whose public statements leading up to the vote put them squarely in the Stupak camp. There's some question as to whether Chris Carney belongs there as well, but his name didn't appear on the list, and he's wavered enough in public statements that I'll keep him undecided. These are the Stupak 11:

Bart Stupak, Marion Berry, Sanford Bishop, Jerry Costello, Kathy Dahlkemper, Joe Donnelly, Steve Driehaus, Marcy Kaptur, Dan Lipinski, Alan Mollohan, Nick Rahall

So if the deal is dead, Pelosi needs everyone in the 1st 2 categories and 2 from the Stupak bloc. If she can peel off more from the Stupak bloc, it gives her room with the undecideds. The only other option would be to try and flip one of the sure No votes, like Stephen Lynch or Mike Arcuri. Expect the 2 committee chairs voting No, Collin Peterson and Ike Skelton, to get a lot of attention.

Given those odds, you can see why she explored the Stupak deal. But pro-choice women apparently slapped it down so soundly, that the path of least resistance is now this agonizing trek to peel off enough votes to get to 216.


Comments:

It is time to drop the house [of representatives] on mad-dame peelousy, the wicked witch of the left, and take away her ruby slippers [and her taxpayer subsidized botox injections, multiple face lifts (more than one face, not one face modified multiple times) and private jet.

We have our first non-american president, our first female speaker of the house and our first eunuch as senate majority leader.

They have amassed more debt in the first year of B.O.'s presidency and a democRAT majority in both houses of congress than in all the other years of this republic combined.

"Yes, we can!"

Yes, you did!

yor bro ken

Posted by: kbhvac at March 20, 2010 1:11 PM