If nothing else, Rove’s white board analyses are archaic
A must read at Time’s Swampland. It’s a brave new techie world…
Inside the Secret World of the Data Crunchers Who Helped Obama Win
Pro-lifers must update our own models for politicking. The other side is way ahead of us.
Meanwhile, Romney’s campaign experienced an epic technological fail…
Exclusive – Inside Orca: How the Romney Campaign Suppressed Its Own Vote
…ouch…
1 likes
Add all of that to the fact that Obama brought the US Census in-house (into the WH) and on top of that all the social media industries are owned by Obama supporters (despite his threats to tax them..) and you have a real-time data stream
When all the top-techs were invited to the WH several years ago, I’d venture it was a planning session for Obama’s reelection campaign. Obama’s campaign reactions were probably much less about Romney and more about chatter coming from the Internet.
In July, my daughter received a survey phone call where they asked her about 100 questions. I was shocked at how extensive the survey was about women’s issues. She finally figured out it was Planned Parenthood at the end. That kind of info funneled into a campaign is critical.
I think the real problem with the GOP is that it fights the past wars instead of simply ignoring the other side and moving off into a particular direction. If you look, almost everything is reactionary.
4 likes
I’m too foggy-headed to truly read this post and follow the links just yet. All I know is, it was always hard to read those white boards. I don’t have HD, not that I have any great desire to see Karl Rove in it! ;)
2 likes
Rove was an embarrassment during the election night (yes, I did watch a tiny bit of Fox). After smart numbers guys for the network called Ohio, he spent a half an hour doing bad math that ended up being very wrong.
1 likes
Ex-GOP,
I wouldn’t jump on Rove. He merely wanted to wait for some red districts to be counted, which he expected to possibly outdo those of the blue Cayoga County (Cleveland?) votes yet to be counted. His and our hopes were soon dashed.
It’s easy to ridicule the wrong predictions as Monday morning quarterbacks. Haven’t you ever been positive your team would win, and they lost badly?
To our side’s shame 3 million of ’08’s voters didn’t show up. I can’t believe they were all sideline-sitters who jumped in just for Sarah Palin.
They would have made the difference, because Obama got 10 million less votes than he did the first time - which has never happened before. Such is the power of our pathetic celebrity worship.
You don’t have to reply. But if you do, I’m the one pouting in the corner.
1 likes
The votes keep coming in – it was 69-59 last time (in millions) – currently at 61.5 to 58.5 – but yes – a lot less votes than last time.
Don’t pout too much – typically parties that aren’t in power do well in midterms, which means the GOP could dominate more at the state level. They do have to figure out a different game at the national level. The demographics aren’t getting easier for them.
1 likes
True about the demographics. If Texas joins N.Y. and California, it’s an electoral vote tsunami. It’s going to be a tightrope walk. The GOP is likely to gain in 2016, but if they really do have a good influence Obama will take all the credit.
At least the ’16 hopefuls are sparse on the Dem side. Biden? As likely as Cheney. At least the Republicans have a strong, strong bench to lead the usual pendulum swing one last time.
And at least, with tea party goading, they should perform well enough to counterbalance the demographics.
1 likes
Hans -
Biden’s ceiling is the VP (I hope). My guess is Hillary in 2012 – the last favorability rating for her was 66% (back in May). She’s got foreign policy experience and experience in the senate. I think a deal was made back in the day as well to get her and Bill’s support.
GOP would be smart to groom Rubio. If they go the direction of somebody like Walker, it could be tough. The GOP can’t win if they don’t do better with minorities and with women. I think that means they either need to ditch the tea party, or massively tone it down. Getting Rush out of the picture would be helpful as well.
2 likes
I’m tired of looking at politics like a sports league. The Republicans aren’t as exciting as the Packers. (The Democrats are exactly as exciting as the Bears!)
We will not enjoy a secular salvation. We need to get back into the game of changing hearts and saving lives. The politics will come around in its own time.
1 likes
Ex-GOP – I have been predicting Clinton vs. Rubio as well. But that may be too strategic for the GOP – had hoped for Rubio as VP. Walker is too bland, if not too polarizing. I wondered if Hilary is beginning to create her distance from Obama’s second term for that reason.
2 likes
Ex-GOP,
Just like I haven’t wavered in support for the electoral college (to mitigate the influence of big states - but now we have to mitigate that of the cities and southern border), I also still believe being a governor is the best preparation for president.
A senator would at the very least have to head a committee to even be vp. I say Rubio for Senate Majority Leader, maybe even in two years, considering how badly I expect Obama to “do” till then.
Paul Ryan for Speaker of the House.
And the governor I like best right now is Bobby Jindal. His is not the faux intelligence O is credited to have. It’s the real deal. And his economic smarts are even better than Ryan’s. (Don’t turn up your lip. Who you got? A treasurey secretary who can’t even pay his own taxes right?)
Christie is not dead to me, but critically ill. I hope he thinks his re-election next year willl have been worth his unseemly kissing up to Obama. Pawlenty and Portman are dull as dishwater, and we now know that image is no longer half the sell. It’s more like 3/4 of it
Eh, I’ve run out of juice. That’s my first take on 2016. And it could not come soon enough for me.
0 likes
It just seems all to good for Hillary not to – people seem to love Bill now like people loved Reagan – she can now step aside and fund raise, build a network, and get ready for four years. I could be wrong – I’m wrong about 60% of the time – but looking right now, she seems a decent bet.
I don’t think the GOP should ignore guys like Portman either – smart guy from a state they need back. A Portman-Rubio ticket for instance, makes a lot of demographic sense.
1 likes
Hillary’s badly in need of a makeover, I’m afraid - speaking of image. That awful, pandering attempt at a Southern drawl she did in a black church stands out in my memory for another reason now:
“Ah’m in no ways tahred…” :)
0 likes