vote%20values1.jpgThis is a prequel to the live blogging I’ll begin tomorrow afternoon from the FRC Washington Briefing.
I am in DC and saw Gary Bauer yesterday, who gave me permission to blog his thoughts. Bauer is the former head of the FRC. He ran for president in 2000 and currently heads American Values and The Campaign for Working Families, which he founded….


About the Washington Briefing, also known as the Values Voter Summit, Bauer said, “The winner of that straw poll may be one of the lower tier candidates who doesn’t have a chance to beat Giuliani. Don’t necessarily get excited about the winner if it’s a second tier candidate.”
I think that second tier candidate may be Mike Huckabee. I noticed yesterday several Huckabee blogs have for two weeks been encouraging their people to vote for him online in the FRC poll. See here, here, and here, for example.
My sense is pro-life leaders are beginning to coalesce around Romney and Thompson. Huckabee only has $650,000 on hand, which is Davidlike when considering the 2008 presidential campaign will take $50-60 million.
Romney’s two problems: Mormonism and flip-flopping. Bauer said we can’t let differences in religion separate us. For instance, Jews don’t believe in Jesus Christ as Messiah whatsoever. Does that mean Christians would not vote for a Jew for prez? He also said politicians can only convert once. Converting again, or reconverting – say, going from pro-abortion to pro-life to pro-abortion – would be political suicide.
Thompson’s two problems: His late start and concerns of stamina. Bauer noted political elitists commonly levy smears of low stamina and laziness against conservative presidential candidates, like, for instance, Reagan and Bush II. We shall see during the next month whether Thompson has what it takes. Bauer also noted Thompson has $7 million in the bank.
Ron Paul? He has quite a pro-life following and raised quite a chunk of change the last quarter, $5.2 million, and still has a fat bank $5.4 million bank account. But his anti-war stance disqualifies him from serious consideration. The name of the game now is beating Giuliani, and Paul can’t do that among Republican primary voters if the discussion narrows between the two to the War on Terror.
Unless conservatives unite around one guy, Giuliani will likely win the nomination. Talk of a 3rd party candidate appears to be fading.

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