weekend question.jpgThe nomination of Kathleen Sebelius for HHS Secretary is growing more tenuous by the minute.
Thursday GOP Minority Leader Mitch McConnell refused to allow Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid go the easy route, so Sebelius now has to get 60 votes instead of simple majority to win Senate approval, with a vote scheduled Tuesday, after 8 hours of debate to begin at 10a EST….


Now we get into the numbers, which gets fascinating. There are 41 Republican senators. But Democrats hold only 56 seats, plus Kennedy and Byrd have both been ill and missing votes. MN’s senatorial race hasn’t been decided yet. There are 2 Independents, Sanders from VT and Lieberman from CT, although they usually vote with the Dems.
All of that was to say 38 votes in opposition to Sebelius’ nomination will be needed to defeat it.
brownback 3.jpgI just spoke with a high source in the Senate, who said if KS Sen. Sam Brownback sticks with Sebelius, she may only get 20 votes in opposition. But if Brownback bails on her, that number would rise to 35, or within striking distance.
Expect the 3 GOP Democrat-lites (Collins, Snowe, Specter) to vote for her. (The 1st 2 have already committed.) KS Sen. Pat Roberts voted for her in the Finance Committee, so he’d have to flip, although Sebelius’ veto of a late-term abortion bill Thursday would give him cover. Don’t know who the other 2 pro-Sebelius Republicans would be.
Democrats likely needed to oppose Sebelius would be pro-life Senators Casey (PA) and Nelson (FLNE).
According to Prime Buzz, CQ Today reported yesterday Brownback told the magazine it is getting “harder and harder” to support Sebelius and he “plans to think more about his endorsement in light of her veto Thursday of late-term abortion legislation.”
Two weekend questions: Do you think Brownback will withdraw his support of Sebelius? And this time next week, where do you think the Sebelius nomination will stand?

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